My dear brothers and sisters,
I am speaking to you tonight to explain the reasons for
some important economic policy decisions the government has recently taken.
Some political parties have opposed them. You have a right to know the truth about
why we have taken these decisions.
No government likes to impose burdens on the common man.
Our Government has been voted to office twice to protect the interests of the
aam admi.
At the same time, it is the responsibility of the
government to defend the national interest, and protect the long term future of
our people. This means that we must ensure that the economy grows rapidly, and
that this generates enough productive jobs for the youth of our country. Rapid
growth is also necessary to raise the revenues we need to finance our
programmes in education, health care, housing and rural employment.
The challenge is that we have to do this at a time when
the world economy is experiencing great difficulty. The United States and
Europe are struggling to deal with an economic slowdown and financial crisis.
Even China is slowing down.
We too have been affected, though I believe we have been
able to limit the effect of the global crisis.
We are at a point where we can reverse the slowdown in
our growth. We need a revival in investor confidence domestically and globally.
The decisions we have taken recently are necessary for this purpose.
Let me begin with the rise in diesel prices and the cap
on LPG cylinders.
We import almost 80% of our oil, and oil prices in the
world market have increased sharply in the past four years. We did not pass on
most of this price rise to you, so that we could protect you from hardship to
the maximum extent possible.
As a result, the subsidy on petroleum products has grown
enormously. It was Rs. 1 lakh 40 thousand crores last year. If we had not
acted, it would have been over Rs. 200,000 crores this year.
Where would the money for this have come from? Money
does not grow on trees. If we had not acted, it would have meant a higher
fiscal deficit, that is, an unsustainable increase in government expenditure
vis-a-vis government income. If unchecked, this would lead to a further steep
rise in prices and a loss of confidence in our economy. The prices of essential
commodities would rise faster. Both domestic as well as foreign investors would
be reluctant to invest in our economy. Interest rates would rise. Our companies
would not be able to borrow abroad. Unemployment would increase.
The last time we faced this problem was in 1991. Nobody
was willing to lend us even small amounts of money then. We came out of that
crisis by taking strong, resolute steps. You can see the positive results of
those steps. We are not in that situation today, but we must act before people
lose confidence in our economy.
I know what happened in 1991 and I would be failing in
my duty as Prime Minister of this great country if I did not take strong
preventive action.
The world is not kind to those who do not tackle their
own problems. Many European countries are in this position today. They cannot
pay their bills and are looking to others for help. They are having to cut
wages or pensions to satisfy potential lenders.
I am determined to see that India will not be pushed
into that situation. But I can succeed only if I can persuade you to understand
why we had to act.
We raised the price of diesel by just Rs. 5 per litre
instead of the Rs 17 that was needed to cut all losses on diesel. Much of
diesel is used by big cars and SUVs owned by the rich and by factories and
businesses. Should government run large fiscal deficits to subsidise them?
We reduced taxes on petrol by Rs. 5 per litre to prevent
a rise in petrol prices. We did this so that the crores of middle class people
who drive scooters and motorcycles are not hit further.
On LPG, we put a cap of 6 subsidised cylinders per year.
Almost half of our people, who need our help the most, actually use only 6
cylinders or less. We have ensured they are not affected. Others will still get
6 subsidised cylinders, but they must pay a higher price for more.
We did not touch the price of kerosene which is consumed
by the poor.
My Dear Brothers and Sisters,
You should know that even after the price increase, the
prices of diesel and LPG in India are lower than those in Bangladesh, Nepal,
Sri Lanka and Pakistan.
The total subsidy on petroleum products will still be
Rs. 160 thousand crores. This is more than what we spend on Health and
Education together. We held back from raising prices further because I hoped
that oil prices would decline.
Let me now turn to the decision to allow foreign
investment in retail trade. Some think it will hurt small traders.This is not
true.
Organised, modern retailing is already present in our
country and is growing. All our major cities have large retail chains. Our
national capital, Delhi, has many new shopping centres. But it has also seen a
three-fold increase in small shops in recent years.
In a growing economy, there is enough space for big and
small to grow. The fear that small retailers will be wiped out is completely
baseless.
We should also remember that the opening of organised
retail to foreign investment will benefit our farmers. According to the
regulations we have introduced, those who bring FDI have to invest 50% of their
money in building new warehouses, cold-storages, and modern transport systems.
This will help to ensure that a third of our fruits and vegetables, which at
present are wasted because of storage and transit losses, actually reach the
consumer. Wastage will go down; prices paid to farmers will go up; and prices
paid by consumers will go down.
The growth of organized retail will also create millions
of good quality new jobs.
We recognize that some political parties are opposed to
this step. That is why State governments have been allowed to decide whether
foreign investment in retail can come into their state. But one state should
not stop another state from seeking a better life for its farmers, for its
youth and for its consumers.
In 1991, when we opened India to foreign investment in
manufacturing, many were worried. But today, Indian companies are competing
effectively both at home and abroad, and they are investing around the world.
More importantly, foreign companies are creating jobs for our youth -- in
Information Technology, in steel, and in the auto industry. I am sure this will
happen in retail trade as well.
My Dear Brothers and Sisters,
The UPA Government is the government of the Aam Aadmi.
In the past 8 years our economy has grown at a record
annual rate of 8.2 per cent. We have ensured that poverty has declined much
faster, agriculture has grown faster, and rural consumption per person has also
grown faster.
We need to do more, and we will do more. But to achieve
inclusiveness we need more growth. And we must avoid high fiscal deficits which
cause a loss of confidence in our economy.
I promise you that I will do everything necessary to put
our country back on the path of high and inclusive growth. But I need your
support. Please do not be misled by those who want to confuse you by spreading
fear and false information. The same tactics were adopted in 1991. They did not
succeed then. They will not succeed now. I have full faith in the wisdom of the
people of India.
We have much to do to protect the interests of our
nation, and we must do it now. At times, we need to say "No" to the
easy option and say "Yes" to the more difficult one. This happens to
be one such occasion. The time has come for hard decisions. For this I need
your trust, your understanding, and your cooperation.
As Prime Minister of this great country, I ask each one
of you to strengthen my hands so that we can take our country forward and build
a better and more prosperous future for ourselves and for the generations to
come.
Jai Hind.
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